Update: Learn about our follow-up survey from July 2024, HERE.

A recent poll of seven key states in the battle for the presidency reveals ebbing support across the board for Joe Biden. The American Survey (powered by What If Media Group) asked over 90,000 voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina who they would vote for if the election were held today. Nowhere did support for the re-election of President Biden exceed 26%.

Democratic respondents, disaffected by economic concerns and the bloodshed in Gaza, are interested in an alternative to the President. Pennsylvania showed the highest disparity between the number of Democratic respondents (36%) and those who say they intend to vote for Biden (25%). That disparity is practically inverted when comparing the number of Republican respondents (26%) to those who say they intend to vote for Trump (38%). President Biden defeated Trump by over 80,000 votes in Pennsylvania in 2020.

Independent voters, the bloc most crucial in securing Democratic victories in 2020 and 2022, are clearly not just wavering on Biden — Trump, who already claimed a decisive victory in the Iowa Caucus, holds a plurality of support in Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, averaging 41% of total responses.

But more than a third of all swing-state voters said if the election were held today, they would vote for a candidate not named Biden or Trump. Voters in Michigan and Wisconsin expressed plurality support for “Anyone Else” at 40%. Both states went red in 2016 and blue in 2020.

The Democratic National Committee has shown no outward concern regarding their re-election efforts. The prevailing assumption seems to be that support for Trump has an established ceiling well under 50%, and no third-party candidate poses enough of a threat to spoil the remaining votes for Biden.

President Biden trails both Trump and “Anyone Else” in every state surveyed.

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All data reported by The American Survey represents at least 16,000 responses from our 500,000 daily users polled randomly across the United States, giving us a 99% confidence level with a margin of error of +/-1%. To learn more about this survey or how our surveys can help you, contact: https://whatifmediagroup.com/pr/